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Predictions GamePredict. Compete. Win μ (Mu — pronounced myoo).
Play your Mu on real-world events, create private Circles, and climb the Leaderboards.
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Receive 500 μ to Start Playing
Your account is instantly credited with 500 μ (Mu) — your starting balance to play on markets and begin building your Rank.
Pick a Market
Browse open markets on politics, tech, sports, finance, and culture — or discover community-created ones.
Play Your Mu
Use your Mu balance to call the outcome you believe in. The stronger your conviction, the more Mu you can put in play.
Earn Reputation & Mu
Right calls earn Mu and boost your leaderboard Rank. Build a track record and become a top forecaster.
Browse all open Markets
Browse Yes/No markets tied to real-world events. Filter by category — politics, tech, sport, finance — or sort by closing date or volume.
Browse & playBasic Markets
Simple fixed-outcome markets where you play a side and commit your Mu. When the market resolves, Mu is distributed equally among all correct predictors — straightforward and great for newcomers.
Fixed outcomeLogarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR) Markets
Advanced dynamic markets where probabilities shift in real time based on collective plays. Early players on low-probability outcomes earn the most when correct — the system rewards genuine insight.
Dynamic pricingPlay Mu to earn Mu
Correct predictions pay out Mu proportional to your play amount and the difficulty of the call. Rare correct calls on low-probability outcomes earn the most.
RewardsEarned, never bought
Every player starts with a μ balance. Play it on markets, earn more by being right, lose some by being wrong. μ can only be earned through accurate prediction — making your balance both your score and your Reputation. You can also earn μ by engaging with NeoMail campaigns.
Earned, not bought
μ is purely skill-based. No pay-to-win. The leaderboard reflects genuine forecasting ability.
Proportional payouts
Bigger plays on harder calls earn more. A 20% probability event that resolves YES pays far more than a 90% favourite.
Daily μ refresh
Log in daily to claim a small μ bonus.
Play early
Early calls on markets with less information yield outsized returns if you're right. Markets move fast once news breaks.
Diversify markets
Don't go all-in on one call. Spread plays across multiple markets to build a steady accuracy rate.
Suggest a Market
Have an idea for a question the community should predict on? Submit a suggestion — if it gets published, you earn a μ bonus.
Join a Circle
Circle members share insights and debate outcomes — collective intelligence improves everyone's accuracy.
Watch your Predictor Score
Top forecasters match their confidence to actual probabilities. Don't always call 100% — sometimes 60% is the honest call.
Suggest & earn
Get a market published that goes high-volume and you collect passive creator rewards the whole time it's live.
Ready to make your first prediction?
Join forecasters competing for Reputation — and prove you see the future more clearly than the crowd.
Browse Markets →